Rising Treasury Yields Signal Market Uncertainties

Finance أخبار

Rising Treasury Yields Signal Market Uncertainties
TREASURY YIELDS,INFLATION,FISCAL POLICY

Ten-year Treasury yields reach their highest level since April 2022, prompting concerns about inflation persistence, fiscal policy, and potential market stress. The article explores various factors contributing to the yield surge, including strong economic data, the possibility of larger government deficits, and structural changes in the Treasury market. It also examines the implications for monetary policy, specifically the Federal Reserve's quantitative tightening program.

Good morning. The minutes from the Fed’s December meeting were released yesterday, and they gave more evidence that the Fed’s governors are jumpy about inflation . The market barely responded. A cautious Fed seems to be priced in already. Email us: [email protected] and [email protected]. Unhedged’s writers thoroughly enjoy Martin Sandbu’s Free Lunch newsletter, which just added a Sunday edition, written by Tej Parikh. We think Unhedged’s readers will enjoy it, too. Sign up here.

There is no “right place” to stop QT — the Fed is feeling its way, or “learning by doing”, in Ben Bernanke’s words. Ideally, QT stops at a point where banks reserves have normalised, but there is still enough liquidity in the system for markets to function smoothly.

 

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