UK Chancellor Faces Pressure to U-Turn on Fiscal Rules Amid Bond Market Turmoil

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UK Chancellor Faces Pressure to U-Turn on Fiscal Rules Amid Bond Market Turmoil
Economics,UK Economy,Finance

The UK Chancellor, Rachel Reeves, is facing pressure to abandon her commitment to one annual fiscal statement and potentially deliver another budget in spring to address the rising cost of borrowing and a shrinking fiscal headroom. The value of the pound has dropped to its lowest in over a year, while borrowing costs have soared to levels unseen since the 2008 financial crisis. Economists warn that the Chancellor may have to raise taxes or cut public spending if she wants to adhere to the government's fiscal rules.

Some City figures are expecting the Chancellor to deliver another statement in spring setting out fresh cuts or tax measures in response to bond market movement

Downing Street did not rule out the possibility of another budget in the spring but said it was “absolutely” the Chancellor’s intention to only have one big fiscal event a year. Reeves would have to set out how she will give herself additional headroom if the forecast is revised. Pressed on whether she was set on one fiscal statement, the spokesman said: “Yes that’s absolutely right. But at the same time no one should be in any doubt that meeting the Government’s fiscal rules is non-negotiable and the Government will always prioritise that.”

“The fiscal rules are non-negotiable, public services will have to live within their means, we’ve set the budget,” he said. “Those who think the current bout of bond market jitters is down to policies announced in the Budget need to explain why there has been such correlation in the upward march of bond yields both here and in the US.”

Isabel Stockton, a senior research economist at the Institute for Fiscal Studies said: “If recent rises in interest rates were to persist, they could easily erode most of the razor-thin margin against the main fiscal rule.“But the issue here is not so much that the past month has been especially eventful, but more that the margin was so small to begin with.

 

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