The Federal Reserve's dot plot reflects interest rate expectations from the world's most important central bank. June's Fed dot plot will likely show fewer rate cuts, given the strength of the economy and the persistence of inflation. Fed Chair Jerome Powell decision to focus on inflation or employment may add context to the dot plot.
Underlying inflation is falling slowly: Will the Federal Open Market Committee opt for one or two interest rate cuts as the median in the dot plot? That is the question for markets. Apart from inflation, the labor market is also of high importance as full employment is the Fed's second mandate. Fed Chair Jerome Powell said that unexpected weakness in jobs would push the Fed toward cutting rates.
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