) seeking to close out the day after taking in Thursday morning's Consumer Price Index report for the month of June.have compiled the perfect itinerary of top industry movers and market themes for active investors in today's episode of Market Domination.ADVERTISEMENTWe are giving you the ultimate investing playbook to help tune out the noise and make the right moves for your money.
Josh from the consumer price index coming in better than estimated showing the disinflationary trend is intact. And to put on the perspective, let's remember that over the course of the last 12 months, 83% of the earnings growth in the S and P 500 has been driven by the magnificent seven technology stocks.It's only up 4% now while that's an average year for the markets, it certainly doesn't sound as good as up 15%.And the good news is according to fact sets, it's forecast that earnings growth will reach around 8.8% in the second quarter.
But what areas of the market really haven't taken part in this rally that started in the part of last year? So I think there's another good way to play in those areas of the market that still are trading and attractive valuations pay good dividends can weather an economic slowdown and will offer more upside, perhaps even more so than what we've seen from technology already.
I wanna circle back to the earnings theme because you and many others have pointed out that other 493 theme that they're going to start to see earnings climb.First of all disappointed. In fact, we're equal weighted in terms of our exposure right now to those high growth technology stocks.We love data centers in this environment.But if you look at the EP index, MS Ciep, it's up over 8% during the first half of this year.So build a diversified portfolio, resist the temptation to try and time the market and stay invested in the market.
What we're talking to our clients about is build your portfolio consistent with the opportunities that we believe are in the economy right now. Perhaps that that's the reporting that Bloomberg is, is saying that basically the reason why is that Tesla needs more time to build the prototypes for the Robo Taxi in addition to the fact that there might be some rework of the design.
You know, it, it's to be expected as more competitors come online, more offerings are out on the market. Uh, our, our consumer tends to have more discretionary, uh, wealth and, and, and purchasing capability. And as you heard in a piece of that clip here, and one of the huge things that he said to me is that our consumers are driving the experience economy, he said, and as you heard there, of course, Taylor Swift gonna be happy that she's been summoned into to chat for yet another earnings season again here.
Um But I think right now we are looking at September and I heard earlier in the program, one of your guests saying, you know, two cuts for the year, I think we should keep the possibility open that there might be even more than two. In some cases, that would not happen if the consumer finances were as strong as they were a year or a year and a half ago.And so increasingly as uh excess savings have been depleted, the consumer as a whole.
Simona some, some economists seem a bit um cautious about those rate cuts and they make different arguments as, you know, one argument I hear though is they'll say, you know, if you look at the stock market and how that's been in rally mode, Simona and that just means they say financial conditions getting easier and do you really wanna kind of fuel, you know, throw more fuel on that fire?I would say, uh, this question of how, how tight, uh, our interest rates has been a topic of heated...
So the fed still has a little bit of room to maneuver and perhaps to wait a couple of more months before they, they begin calibrating rate throw.We are just talking about, you know, let's look where inflation is and whether a 5.5 funds raise still is necessary given the direction of travel. Uh The odds of a recession have been much higher uh earlier in Biden's term, they were went as high as 65%.
Uh But of course, there's a bigger story which is whether Biden is going to be the nominee Bynes Big press conference tonight, Rick, how much is uh uh that now is uh how much is that riding now?Um It's like this is a do or die moment for Biden.
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