Are we anywhere near a bottom? The market is seriously oversold. We know what the market needs in order to steady itself: 1) rates stabilizing, 2) inflation stabilizing , and 3) earnings commentary that does not force wholesale revision of earnings estimates . Lowry, the nation's oldest technical analysis service, notes the dramatic expansion of 52-week lows on the NYSE and Nasdaq, which means investors are not snapping up any bargains yet.
"Several of those [indicators like dollar and global yields] are at or near levels that suggest a bounce should be forming soon, especially as the seasonals become a tailwind in mid-October. As far as a level, while there will be some talk of a double bottom at the June lows, an undercut that gets closer to the 200-Week Moving Average makes sense to us.
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Be honest, the fed balance sheet alone (not including 10% mortgage rates that are coming) will be rolling off $7TRILLION, or roughly the entire combined market caps of: $NVDA $DIS $META $GOOGL $TSLA $AAPL $AMZN $GS $JPM $AMD $SNAP $ROKU $SOFI
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