FILE - People pass the New York Stock Exchange on July 30, 2024 in New York. Japan's benchmark Nikkei 225 stock index has lost 12.4% on Monday, August 5, 2024, in the latest bout of sell-offs that are jolting world markets.
“The Fed could ride in on a white horse to save the day with a big rate cut, but the case for an inter-meeting cut seems flimsy,” said Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex Wealth Management. “Those are usually reserved for emergencies, like COVID, and an unemployment rate of 4.3% doesn’t really seem like an emergency.”
Goldman Sachs economist David Mericle sees a higher chance of a recession following Friday’s jobs report. But he still sees only a 25% probability of that, up from 15%, in part “because the data look fine overall” and he does not “see major financial imbalances.” Still, stocks of companies whose profits are most closely tied to the economy’s strength took heavy losses on the fears about a slowdown. The small companies in the Russell 2000 index dropped 4.4%, further dousing what had been a revival for it and other beaten-down areas of the market.
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