The Magnificent Seven technology behemoths have lived up to their moniker with a massive gain of more than 75 per cent so far this year.Jeff Mo, portfolio manager at Calgary-based Mawer Investment Management Ltd., says he’s “cautiously optimistic” about the setup for U.S. mid-caps next year. “My outlook is incrementally more positive than it was six months ago,” says Mr. Mo, who oversees Mawer U.S. Midcap Equity Fund and Manulife U.S. Mid-Cap Equity Fund. U.S.
mid-caps should benefit from the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s interest rate cuts and the perception of a more business-friendly administration under president-elect Donald Trump, he says. In a study by Mr. Mo’s team going back 30 years, the Russell Midcap Index outpaced the S&P 500 index over the two- and five-year periods after the central bank started cutting interest rates. “Companies with more opportunity to grow tend to do better when there’s an easing of monetary conditions,” he says. As for more business-friendly policies emerging, there’s always a lag so that would be “more of a 2026 story.” The Russell Midcap Index, which tracks around 800 companies and is the benchmark for many actively managed U.S. mid-cap funds, is up 17 per cent this year versus 27 per cent for the S&P 500. U.S. large-cap stocks have become more expensive due to flows from passive exchange-traded funds going into the S&P 500 companies, he says. Small-caps offer better value than mid-caps, but the downside is that 40 per cent of the names in the Russell 2000 Index are not profitable versus 15 per cent in the mid-cap index, he says. “If you want to find the next Magnificent Seven stock, it’s probably a U.S. mid-cap today.” Mr. Mo says he’s finding attractive opportunities in the consumer discretionary, industrial and financial sectors., a small-appliance maker known for its Ninja blender
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