Yes! Historically, it has been proven that prior to the date of the settlement of the contract, there is an observed 2% drop for both median and average. While this dramatic price fall is largely credited to large institutional-sized investors who sell/buy Bitcoin at this time, the story goes deeper than that.
It is relatively easy to understand this phenomenon in the traditional financial markets because of the volume of institutional investors who are participating. For the crypto markets, too, the institutional investors can adopt various ways to influence the price of Bitcoin on settlement dates. Since Bitcoin is settled in USD and not in BTC, it is quite easy for traders to manipulate their futures position to their favor.
In fact, their data revealed that out of the 608 days they analyzed, they found that for almost half that duration, the price was average a positive return. Thus, the average return was roughly 50% positive and 50% negative. However, as the report said, right before the settlement "something completely different" was seen in the returns on the asset. About 75% of this time, the returns were said to be negative.
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