Goodbye turbulent H1 and other world market themes for the week ahead

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What investors will be watching over the next seven days

Angst is running high over global recession risks as the year’s mid-point approaches. So economic data and central bank talk will bear watching more than usual, and there’s plenty of that coming up.

Still, stock markets, firmly in bear territory, may get a respite. History shows equities usually fall in the run-up to inflation peaking, then rally, Goldman Sachs notes. The three-day shindig, starting Monday, will be especially interesting, given the biggest inflation surge in decades and worries of an imminent global economic recession.

Adding to concerns is a standoff over the Russian enclave of Kaliningrad, sparking fresh warnings from Moscow towards Baltic EU member states.

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