It’s an age-old Wall Street adage attributed to legendary market technician Bob Farrell: “Markets are strongest when they are broad and weakest when they narrow to a handful of blue-chip names.”
That quote has been bandied about quite a bit recently, having been cited in research notes published by Rosenberg Research founder David Rosenberg and others as the stock-market rally in 2023 has been largely driven by a handful of megacap stocks. Some Wall Street analysts have cited weak breadth as a reason investors should be cautious with stocks, despite this year’s gains.
Market breadth has only been weaker during two of those occasions, Krinsky found. By now, 69% of S&P 500 constituents have typically moved above their 200-DMAs, according to Krinsky.
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