As rebounds go, the current revival in the fortunes of stocks in emerging markets surely ranks as one of the more impressive feats in recent history.
That all started to change a month ago when China announced relatively aggressive stimulus policies to support its slowing economy. Much depends on previously announced policies and “how soon and aggressively” the stimulus plans are implemented, Song advises. “If any of these things fall short, the optimism could falter.”Elevated youth unemployment is contributing to flagging domestic consumption, while households see the bulk of their savings, predominantly invested in real estate, dwindle as property prices spiral downwards.
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