Jeremy Siegel: Market sees about 80% chance of trade deal, but those odds decline by the day

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The market will become more uncertain 'every day and every week' that a China deal doesn't happen, Wharton School professor Jeremy Siegel says.

U.S. stocks are "not far from all-time highs, because there is an expectation in the market that [President Donald] Trump has got to do a trade deal," the Wharton School finance professor said on ". " The stock market "has to be higher than it is right now" if Trump wants to get re-elected in 2020.

The market has seen trade developments between the U.S., Canada and Mexico as a positive sign that the United States can work out a trade deal with China, Siegel said. However, the market will become more uncertain "every day and every week" that a China deal doesn't happen, he added.Tuesday as the U.S.-China trade war sparks worries about a possible slowdown in the economy. The Dow has logged five straight weeks of declines, its longest weekly losing streak in eight years.

The world's two largest economies increased tariffs on one another this month, with the U.S. making the first move by increasing duties on $200 billion worth of Chinese products from 10% to 25%. China announced plans to raise tariff rates on $60 billion in U.S. goods. The tactics amplified a fight that has rattled financial markets and threatened to drag on the global economy.said Monday that the U.S.

 

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trade deal odds don't decline at all times as days go by, like approaching 200 days:)

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