Stock warning and recession advice from top market bear Peter Cecchini - Business Insider

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Wall Street's biggest bear explains why stocks will tumble 18% by year-end ahead of a recession in 2020 — and breaks down the trades you should be making in response

Peter Cecchini, global chief market strategist for Cantor Fitzgerald, has been Wall Street's biggest stock bear in 2019, and still expects a steep equity sell-off in the next few months.

He says manufacturing and consumer sector data both back up his forecast and explains how he's playing defense based on his projections.Peter Cecchini, the global chief market strategist for Cantor Fitzgerald, admits he's been waiting a long time for the "other shoe" to drop on the stock market.Cecchini predicted that the market's early 2019 rally would be followed by a steep drop"When everybody got to 2,800, I got neutral.

— and notes that any number of manufacturing indicators point to a recession in that part of the economy."We think the probability of a recession in the second half of 2020 is relatively high," he said. "Equity markets here in the US should respond sometime in advance of that [by] six to nine months."

 

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