Tech stocks rebounding, new Paramount bid: Morning Brief

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Brad Smith Notícia

Nasdaq Composite,Warner Music Group,Seana Smith

The Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) and S&P 500 (^GSPC) indexes are rebounding Friday morning from downward pressures that hit tech stocks (XLK) at the beginning of...

) at the beginning of August, but why are tech stocks seeing this rebound, and is it time to buy back into the sector?) is trading below $60,000 once again after recovering from a crypto sell-off earlier in the month. It comes at a time when crypto legislation is in focus from the US presidential candidates and top political leaders.) up to $1.6 billion in grants to build chip manufacturing plants in Texas and Utah. The project is currently expected to cost a total of $18 billion through 2029.

And finally, she'll announce new efforts around health care costs including a push to cap the price of insulin at $35 for everyone, not just for seniors. So again, we take a look at the bond market moves couple that with some of that excitement that we've been seeing within the stock market. But for the markets, at least that might be digested as, hey, that just means that we're finally gonna get these rate cuts right?So we'll see what that set up looks like going into September and where more of that fed speak continues to move the market dialogue and market always reason at least to be optimistic it seems like as of late.

Yeah, Shawny, you did see some dip buying specifically in the tech sector and really in the indexes overall. And if what's happening isn't a thesis changer, then maybe just stay in the market and that's played out for investors that stayed in the market.And then what happened was you saw at that point, the NASDAQ and correction territory down 10% and all of a sudden everyone says the risk reward looks a little bit better.I know that's something you had been talking to strategists about and saying, you know, maybe, maybe it's time to be a dip buyer at the, at the start of last week.

So Keith Werner over at Truist who had upgraded the tech sector last week, he did some great work highlighting the nasdaq's output or sorry sectors out performance in the S and P 500 in June on a rolling two month basis.Then you spin that forward to the sell off.So you had this big dichotomy there and then so it's easy to come in to some extent.

Um However, if we look at the underlying drivers of the recent uh, unemployment rate rise, they're actually quite different than they have been historically. Well, you know, I think when, when we look at the balance of risks to the outlook, what we see has has changed uh more dramatically recently is the balance of risks around inflation.

And we do think growth is slowing, um, you know, growth was ha was 3% last year, very strong pace, um, above trend pace, you know, we think it's slowing and that's kind of healthy uh, this year.I think there's still, um, you know, very firm pieces of the economy, solid pieces of the economy, including uh consumers overall.

So, yes, I think the FED will start to ease back to where they think more normal levels of monetary policy should be in the long run. You know, as I mentioned, restrictive policy looks a little bit misplaced now relative to where the economy is and there's, you know, there's certainly arguments for them to get back to neutral more quickly.

Um, you know, certainly things are slowing and we think it's now time to return monetary policy to more normal territory.Um, you know, and so whether they do, uh, you know, I think we think they're gonna do 25 but whether they do 25 or 50 I think that's the more important piece is the communication on this.And uh we've still got some time until that next meeting, Tiffany Wilding, who is the Pimco managing director and economist.

There are also um tax breaks on the demand side too, which I think will bring it in for some criticism including a $25,000 tax credit towards down payment payments of first time home buyers. Currently the new rules in the last couple of years have done it for seniors, but this would be for everyone. And you know, that is just can continue to be the case for a lot of semiconductor companies right now.And semiconductors providing the foundation for tectonic shifts in technology that shaping the global economy over the next several decades.

It al they also go on to say that it positions the company to outperform our markets over the longer term and in terms of why we are seeing a bit of a reaction here to the downside of just about 3.5%. I mentioned those factories, one is in Utah, two are in Texas and those projects are expected to cost about $18 billion through the next five years through 2029.

 

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