The stock market will be flying high in a year — for 2 simple reasons

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OPINION: The stock market will be booming next year because of a good enough vaccine and huge economic stimulus deals from the Fed and Congress.

Stock markets love to take everyone by surprise, and less than a year from now a very big surprise will have played out: Stocks will be a lot higher by June as the economy moves into overheat mode.1. By the turn of the year we will have vaccines for COVID-19. They won’t be perfect. But they will be good enough at protecting the most vulnerable — so most people can get back to work and the economy can begin to repair.

The key takeaway: We get vaccines that are “good enough” as early as a few months from now, and more by the turn of the year. This would help get the economy back on track, because the most vulnerable could be protected. That would bring down the hospitalization and death rates — the whole reason we’ve been in lockdown. “If you have a vaccine that provides a 60% reduction in symptoms, I think that will lead to significantly less disease burden, less hospitalizations and less death,” says Yee. “The early data are very promising.

The big four These are a little behind the big three in timing, but their potential vaccines are well advanced.Johnson & Johnson JNJ, +0.80% will launch Phase III studies of its vaccine candidate Ad26 in September. It will post data by the end of the year or early 2021, says Yee. Early results from primate studies suggest effectiveness. Ad26 may work with just one shot, a plus.Sanofi SNY, -0.34% SAN, -0.

 

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What if: 1. A vaccine is not produced? 2. Stimulus injected into an economy with falling production causes inflation? Besides, a year from the now, a vaccine will be irrelevant. These peter out after 12-18 months as we are already seeing with rising cases & falling deaths.

Dr. Fauci disagrees. Don't you worry about misleading the people this way?

How’s that HIV vaccine doing 40 years on?

As it has not been flying high enough lately

It'll be booming b/c TrumpCrimeSyndicate will be in Prison! LockThemAllUp

I didn’t realise they weren’t flying high as it is

Sell.

Trump about to sign exec order to PREVENT EVICTIONS he gave working class Americans financial protection through this crisis NOT PLATITUDES ....SECOND TERM

“Good enough vaccine”

ridiculous...how about now? recession but all time highs...come back to reality...

What about the economy? Or that doesn't matter.

At last!

Self serving myopic view of the probabilities of success. Hopefully no one invests on this piece.

Unless everyone is vaccinated will the economy return to normal. That will take much longer than people think.

Strong call that could boomerang back to bite in 12 months time

Economic stimulus is a given and is already priced in. The only people bullish on having a ‘good enough vaccine’ that quickly are insiders offloading stock faster than they can spruik it.

Its kinda already flying high 🤷🏽‍♂️🤑 I am making money daily are you?

Don't hold your breath.

meanwhile.

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