2000 redux? Stock-market election fears have traders revisiting Bush-Gore battle

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How will the market react to a contested presidential election? It's hard to know, but investors are looking to 2000's Florida recount battle between Al Gore and George W. Bush for guidance. This chart shows how the S&P 500 handled the drama 20 years ago:

As fears of a contested presidential election rise, investors are taking a look at how the market behaved during the closest precedent — the 2000 Florida recount battle between Democrat Al Gore and Republican George W. Bush.

But analysts worry that the potential for disputes in several states over mail-in ballots could make for a much more contentious environment than was the case in 2000. The potential for trouble in the wake of this year’s election is drawing advance comparisons to 1876, when contested results in several states meant the election wasn’t decided until just before inauguration day, which was then in March.

 

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