As fears of a contested presidential election rise, investors are taking a look at how the market behaved during the closest precedent — the 2000 Florida recount battle between Democrat Al Gore and Republican George W. Bush.
But analysts worry that the potential for disputes in several states over mail-in ballots could make for a much more contentious environment than was the case in 2000. The potential for trouble in the wake of this year’s election is drawing advance comparisons to 1876, when contested results in several states meant the election wasn’t decided until just before inauguration day, which was then in March.
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