, as hawkish Federal Reserve policy, rising bond yields, geopolitical uncertainty and the corporate earnings season fuel investor unease.
“More variables in any equation create greater uncertainty in terms of the outcome,” said Michael Farr, president of Farr, Miller & Washington. “We have more variables now than I can remember in my career.” Traders in eurodollar futures, which reflect the U.S. interest rate outlook for the next few years, on Friday priced in the Federal Reserve’s rate-hike cycle peaking at a higher level than previously expected, adding to worries that the scope of Fed tightening could hit U.S. growth.
Plenty of investors believe the economy – and markets – can remain resilient. Solita Marcelli, chief investment officer, Americas, at UBS Global Wealth Management, said the U.S. economy is robust enough to grow even if Fed hikes match current expectations. “Next week is the most important week of the first-quarter earnings season, and there is not a lot of confidence about results given what happened to a few big companies this week, Netflix being the most obvious example,” said Peter Tuz, president of Chase Investment Counsel.
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