, betting the selloff in U.S. stocks will continue until there are signs the Fed is winning its battle against inflation.
The third quarter saw the index rise by nearly 14% before reversing to make a fresh two-year low in September after investors recalibrated their expectations for even more aggressive Fed tightening.With several big Wall Street banks expecting the benchmark index to end the year below current levels - Bank of America and Goldman Sachs both recently published year-end targets of 3,600 - the outlook for dip-buying remains murky.
The ICE BofAML U.S. Bond Market Option Volatility Estimate Index shot to its highest level since March 2020 as the ICE BofA US Treasury index is on track for its biggest annual drop on record. The greenback is up about 7% for the quarter against a basket of currencies and stands near its highest level since May 2002. The dollar’s strength has the Bank of Japan to shore up the yen through interventions while also presenting an earnings headwind for U.S. corporates.
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