Same-store effective asking rents for new leases nationally fell 0.59% in November, according to Richardson, Texas-based RealPage Inc. Not only is it the third month in a row of declines, but November was the third-largest month-over-month cut since 2010. The other two months that posted bigger reductions since 2010 were April and May 2020, at the onset of the Covid-19 pandemic.
Apartment occupancy nationally has fallen slightly below pre-pandemic highs as a result. Occupancy in November was at 95.1%, less than the 95.6% occupancy observed in November 2019. "Supply is structural but demand is cyclical," he continued."For 2023 in particular, it’s very unlikely that demand will keep pace with supply. Some of these lease-ups will take longer to fill up. It's going to be very, very competitive."
Areas like Fort Walton Beach, Florida, and Boise, Idaho saw the biggest month-over-month cuts last year, or about 2%. Honolulu and Vallejo/Fairfield/Napa, California, saw year-over-year declines last month. That may suggest destination-type markets are seeing an outsized slowdown in apartment demand than other markets.
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