JPMorgan says commercial real estate decline is intensifying. Beware these exposed stocks

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Commercial real estate, already coping with higher interest rates and fewer workers in offices, faces added pressure from the regional bank fallout.

As commercial real estate comes under even greater pressure, investors should steer clear of these stocks that are overexposed to the sector, JPMorgan said. Commercial real estate is already facing more challenges this year than other parts of real estate, such as retail or lodging. In fact, office REITs were down 0.64% this year on a total return basis as of Feb. 28, according to Nareit data . Last year, office real estate dropped 37.6%, also on a total return basis.

"While options remain for borrowers/lenders to seek modifications , a string of recent defaults should be interpreted more as an opening salvo as opposed to a one-off event," it continued. Given this, JPMorgan screened for a basket of stocks with direct and indirect exposure to U.S. commercial real estate. Here are 10 of them. Caterpillar has direct exposure to commercial real estate.

 

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It’s the typical anti-cyclical sentiment that started in the early 00s…makes no sense. You should build in the downturn and sell at the upturn..unfortunately our friends in finance lost it in the herd moment… much like what’s happening now..short term gains..

Time to invest in cardboard boxes and Sharpies for creating 'The Last Blockbuster' signs.

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