Majority of Canadian market participants see central bank holding rates at 5% in 2023: survey

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The Bank of Canada’s survey showed a median of the participants forecasting interest rates dropping to 3.50% in the fourth quarter of 2024

The Bank of Canada will not raise rates again and will start cutting a little later than previously anticipated, according to a survey of market participants released by the central bank on Monday.’s second-quarter survey, conducted from June 8 to 19, showed a median of the participants expect the bank to hold interest rates at a 22-year high of 5.00 per cent until the end of 2023, before starting to cut rates in March.

A median of 25 participants now also predict a 0.7 per cent gross domestic product growth at the end of 2023, instead of a 0.1 per cent contraction forecast in the last survey. The bank has hiked rates 10 times since March 2022 and said it could raise rates further because of the risk of inflation stalling above its 2 per cent target.

 

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