Will stocks suffer again in September?

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Research indicates the September effect, as it’s known, has been a feature of US and UK stock markets for some 200 years

But why? The absence of satisfactory explanations means it’s wise to assume September’s weakness is a statistical fluke. Now, stocks may well slip for any number of other reasons but there’s less reason for obvious near-term concern compared to a month ago.

Then, the S&P 500 was technically overbought after five consecutive monthly gains. Sentiment was frothy; one American Association of Individual Investors poll showed bullishness at levels unseen since April 2021.

 

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