U.S. corporations are turning to foreign exchange options again to protect their cash flow as they fear the U.S. presidential election and diverging central bank interest-rate policies could spark a period of currency volatility, bankers said.
Options grant the right to buy or sell currencies at a predetermined rate, allowing companies to soften the impact of currency moves by locking in a worst-case exchange rate. They can still benefit if the currency rebounds. Democratic presidential nominee Vice President Kamala Harris’ plan for housing assistance and curbing price gouging could have mixed effects on inflation, the Tax Policy Center has said.
Implied volatility on an at-the-money options contract to buy or sell British pounds or euros versus U.S. dollars a year from now shows it is roughly 30% cheaper than two years ago, LSEG data showed.Volatility jumped briefly earlier this month as investors unwound yen-funded trades after the Bank of Japan raised rates, reminding companies of currency exposure risks, said Thomas Kikis, global co-head of corporate sales, financial markets at Standard Chartered.
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