in financial markets, amid fears that up to £50bn in extra borrowing for infrastructure investment could reawaken bond vigilantes betting against Britain. This includes warnings of a “Others, however, say such concerns are overblown, and point to other factors driving the bond markets, and the relatively small changes in UK borrowing costs compared withBenchmark 10-year UK government bond yields – which move inversely to prices – have risen by about 0.
However, investors had already expected about £278bn of sales before the budget, meaning the extra amount is relatively marginal. Still, when supply increases, prices fall.The increase in borrowing costs has been relatively modest. Analysts at Deutsche Bank said the rise versus the US and Germany was slightly above average for pre-budget periods since 2006. But it is not outside the normal range, and pales in comparison with” for the UK.
Britain is not immune though, after inflation fell by more than anticipated in September. Andrew Bailey, the Bank’s governor, has also signalled that, the shadow chancellor, has said Reeves’s plans would mean “misery for millions of mortgage holders” by keeping interest rates higher for longer. He said the advice he received consistently while chancellor was that any additional borrowing would have this effect.
Analysts expect Reeves’s budget will not have a significant impact on the Bank’s decisions, because the chancellor is not expected to dish out vast dollops of near-term inflationary stimulus.
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