Risk assets rally but bond market views Donald Trump’s victory with caution

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Analysts and investors warn tension between different aspects of president-elect’s policy add to risks of a reversal

US stocks and other risky assets rallied on Wednesday after Donald Trump’s decisive election victory, but bond investors highlighted why euphoria could be shortlived if the president-elect’s campaign policies drive up inflation. “Sugar rush is a good term for what we’ve experienced,” said Tina Fordham, founder of advisory firm Fordham Global Foresight, which advises investors and corporate executives on political issues.

“A decisive win was a surprise given the polling, but I think there will be at least some modest reversal . . . as we hear more and more from the president-elect.” Although equity investors on Wednesday were mainly focused on the positive side of the equation, there were already some pockets of activity pointing towards longer-term worries. The worst-performing sector in the S&P 500 was real estate, a sector where returns are highly correlated with interest rates.

 

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