Why the corporate debt boom isn’t less risky because stocks are near records

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Do lofty share prices actually make U.S. corporate debt safer for investors? Here’s what a couple of portfolio managers had to say.

Wall Street has been kicking around an nifty idea: With U.S. stock indexes hitting new records, the fourfold increase of debt loaded onto American companies over the past 30 years might look less alarming.

“There has been a lot of concern about the fact that the amount of U.S. corporate financial debt has more than quadrupled (to $11.2 trillion from $2.5 trn over the past three decades,” Hans Mikkelsen’s credit team at BofA wrote, in a note. MarketWatch asked several bond investors about those claims, including whether lofty share prices actually can make U.S. corporate debt safer for investors. Here’s what a couple of portfolio managers had to say:

In other words, bond investors face getting paid less spread, even though it will take longer to be repaid. For stocks, it has been roughly 10 months without a significant pullback. That’s pushed the S&P 500 index SPX, -0.58% to 51 record closes this year, but also to advance 100% from its March 2020 bear-market low, according to Dow Jones Market Data.

 

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