Posthaste: As the bear market roars back to life, BofA survey signals 'deeper investor misery'

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Global growth optimism sinks to record low, and fears of stagflation are at the highest since the 2008 financial crisis

The bear market came roaring back yesterday after four straight days of losses pushed the S&P 500 more than 20% below its peak.

“Wall St sentiment is dire but no big low in stocks before big high in yields & inflation, and the latter requires uber-hawkish Fed hikes in June & July,” wrote the team led by Michael Hartnett. Sixty-seven of the fund managers think oil will produce the best returns in 2022, up from 56% the month before. They are also the most underweight on equities since May 2020.BofA suggests in an earlier note that if market turmoil is getting you down, turn to the wisdom of Bob Farrell, one of the pioneers of technical analysis.

“Farrell’s rules suggest that equity corrections are normal, the upward reversion for interest rates can continue and that a bigger rotation to Value from Growth is underway.”Rule 1: Markets tend to return to the mean over timeRule 3: There are no new eras – excesses are never permanent

 

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