Why stock-market investors fear 'something else will break' as Fed attacks inflation

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“It’s wishful thinking” that the Fed is heading toward a pause in rate hikes, this strategist says.

Some investors are on edge that the Federal Reserve may be overtightening monetary policy in its bid to tame hot inflation, as markets look ahead to a reading this coming week from the Fed’s preferred gauge of the cost of living in the U.S.

Stocks jumped sharply Friday while the market weighed what was seen as a potential start of a shift in Fed policy, even as the central bank appeared set to continue a path of large rate increases this year to curb soaring inflation. “Something in the economy may break in the process,” he said. “That’s the risk that we find ourselves in.”

Read: ‘Fragile’ Treasury market is at risk of ‘large scale forced selling’ or surprise that leads to breakdown, BofA says Ten-year Treasury yields dipped slightly more than one basis point to 4.212% on Friday, after climbing Thursday to their highest rate since June 17, 2008 based on 3 p.m. Eastern time levels, according to Dow Jones Market Data.

The central bank “has told us that they are data dependent,” he said, but expressed concerns it’s relying on data that’s “backward-looking by at least a month,” he said. Read: Stock-market investors brace for busiest week of earnings season. Here’s how it stacks up so far.

 

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They will pause next week

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