Here's the 'triple power play' that may rule stock-market returns, other assets for next 5 years

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Labor's bargaining power, the end of monetary-policy leniency, and struggles between U.S. and China are about to play a major role for multi-asset investors.

Three powerful dynamics unfolding in the global economy are expected to play a significant role in investors’ multi-asset allocations over the next five years, according to a 132-page report from Rotterdam-based asset manager Robeco.

Robeco provided its forecasts for five-year annualized, projected returns on a range of assets held by euro- and dollar-based investors — including developed- and emerging-market equities, bonds, and cash. “Looking ahead, a key question is: are we eyeing the start of a new bull market that will broaden and pave the way for another streak of above-historical excess equity return?” the Robeco team wrote in the report released on Tuesday. “In our base case, we expect developed markets’ earnings growth to end up below current 5Y forward consensus projections, which are high single-digit or even still low double-digit for the U.S. and eurozone.

 

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