Why 5% bond yields could wreak havoc on the market

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‘Investors are going to ask for more compensation to take risk and when you see liquidity evaporate more and more, that’s what’s going to turn the market over,’ said Robert Daly of Glenmede Investment Management

The yield on the 30-year Treasury bond rose above 5% again on Friday, opening the door to the likelihood of a more sustainable rise above that mark and the risk that the benchmark 10-year yield also follows — moves which could wreak havoc across financial markets.

Stock investors nonetheless shook off Friday’s stunning official jobs report for September, which saw the U.S. add almost twice as many jobs as forecasters had expected. Still, “a higher level of interest rates and yields is going to start having ramifications for broader markets at large,” leaving many investors hesitant to buy just about anything due to the volatility, Daly said via phone on Friday, after the release of September’s hot payrolls data.

Friday’s price action was the second time this week that data related to the robust U.S. labor market has triggered a bonds selloff. On Tuesday, a snapback in U.S. job openings during August sent the 10- and 30-year yields to their highest closing levels since August-September of 2007.

 

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