Libya's Rival Governments Propose a Merger to Hold Elections

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Analysis - Tripoli and Tobruk plan a reunified government, but the UN and wider international community are wary of this approach.

Tripoli and Tobruk plan a reunified government, but the UN and wider international community are wary of this approach.

But the United Nations and most other external actors have opposed the deal, insisting on elections before a new government is formed. The plan enjoys the support of the east-based military strongman Field Marshal Khalifa Haftar, which is perhaps both a plus and a minus.that stitching together a unity government would diminish stakeholders' incentives to follow through on their electoral commitments, reinforcing the status quo.

She said the plan seemed the most promising way to reunite the country, given the insurmountable challenges of holding elections while the country remained divided between two competing governments. But then in February 2022, following botched elections two months earlier, a deal between the two sides to replace the Tripoli-based government of Prime Minister Abdulhamid Dabaiba collapsed. The Tobruk administration asked Fathi Bashagha to form a parallel government, and the country returned to two separate and squabbling regimes. In March this year, Tobruk replaced Bashagha with his finance minister, Osama Hamad, in an acting capacity.

Perhaps the most formidable obstacle to the plan is that Dabaiba, who has hitherto clung tenaciously to the prime ministership, would probably resist any efforts to unseat him without elections. The August clashes appeared to reinforce these concerns, suggesting Dabaiba's faction was indeed resisting the 6+6 committee's plan.The plan also needed international support, and the UN and Western opposition seemed fatal. There are some signs that their positions may be shifting, though.

 

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