Risk Gauges Flash Red: VIX, Stocks, Bonds, USD and the Japanese Yen

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Risk assets are getting pummeled, especially in Asia at the start of the new week. Numerous macroeconomic factors have aligned to force a shift towards traditional safe havens

EUR/USD IG Client Sentiment: Our data shows traders are now net-long EUR/USD for the first time since Jul 03, 2024 when EUR/USD traded near 1.08.Forex Update: As of 14:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: 🇯🇵JPY: -0.01% 🇪🇺EUR: -0....Fear Gauge Confirms Major Risk Off Movefalls to a large degree.

Expectations of multiple US rate cuts, at a time when the BoJ voted again to hike its policy rate this month has significantly reduced the attractiveness of the popular carry trade. A strongerand weaker dollar renders Japanese exporters less attractive and that has helped to extend today’s losses. When the yen was weak, the index rose as exporters enjoyed share price appreciation in expectation of healthy sales numbers.

The dollar is well-known for being a safe haven asset but is unlikely to benefit from this appeal in the wake of rapidly risingexpectations. US treasury yields are also retreating at a decent pace – reflecting market pessimism and the expectation that the Fed missed the opportunity to reduce the burden of elevated interest rates last month. The dollar story will continue to be driven by rate expectations for some time to come.

 

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