Markets Ken Fisher: Market stability and growth can’t coexist. Anyone claiming otherwise is wrong Those in search of a life boat in the current choppy conditions may turn to schemes offering both equity-like growth and capital preservation in the hopes of securing stability.
On more than one instance the reaction to these threats was extreme - traders sold off stocks, markets tanked and billions of dollars and euros were wiped from global indices. Consider America’s S&P 500 index for its longest accurate history: Eliminating volatility means missing the 63.1 per cent of months and 73.5 per cent of years US stocks rose since 1926! Or, similarly, the 61.9 per cent of months and 74.4 per cent of years Irish stocks rose in euros and pounds since good data begin in 1984.
US 10- and 30-year Treasurys’ respective 3.84 per cent and 4.13 per cent yields top US inflation’s roughly 3.5 per cent long-term annualised average… barely. Any inflation uptick eliminates any after-inflation return. Go for growth The good news? Whilst capital preservation and growth don’t work as a combined goal, a growth goal can preserve capital over the long term.
The past never guarantees the future, but it does reveal if something is reasonable to expect. Human nature changes too slowly to diminish the profit motive’s power in relevant timeframes. As such, stocks should keep reaping superior returns long-term.
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