Republicans and independents are becoming much more optimistic about Donald Trump’s odds on election day—and about the direction of the U.S. economy.
Democrats have lost a little bit of confidence in Harris but remain optimistic. The latest poll findsin November, although the number drops to 69 percent if Democrat-leaning voters are included. A month ago, 76 percent of Dems thought Harris would win and 75 percent with leaners included. In August, 77 percent of Democrats and 72 percent of Democrats plus leaners were forecasting a Harris win.
—although Democrats are still more optimistic on this score. Toward the end of September, just 17 percent of Trump supporters and Republicans said they expected to be financially better off a year from now. Now 25 percent of Trump supporters and 27 percent of Republicans say they expect to be better off. The better off forecast among Democrats is basically unchanged, at 42 versus 44 percent a month ago.
Perhaps the biggest challenge for Harris to overcome has been the unhappiness of Americans with the state of the country and the economy during the Biden-Harris administration. And while it drives liberals absolutely crazy to hear it, poll after poll has found that a majority Americans think the country was better off when Trump was president. In the latest—and just 29 percent say it is better off.
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