Here’s one explanation from Sam Stovall, research company CFRA’s chief investment strategist. “It’s the third year of a presidential term in office, which historically is the strongest of the four-year presidential cycle,” he told MarketWatch in a recent telephone interview.
Here’s one for a retail investor who doesn’t have the stomach to spend 2020 reacting to geopolitical headlines. “If you’re saying you have to stick with something for a full 12 months, look at those sectors and those sub-industries that are the leaders at the end of the year,” he says. Stovall’s Pacer CFRA-Stovall Equal Weight Seasonal Rotation exchange-traded fund SZNE, +0.98% rotates between cyclical and defensive sectors every six months. He also suggests gravitating toward companies that have consistently paid dividends over time, via Vanguard’s Dividend Appreciation ETF VIG, +0.40% and the iShares Core Dividend Growth DGRO, +0.69%.
He anticipates gold at $1,445 an ounce by year-end, and $1,380 by early 2020, citing an “incredibly bearish” backdrop for the metal.
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