Column: Market strikes it right on peak Fed ... finally

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Column: Market strikes it right on peak Fed ... finally
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Markets are betting that the Fed's interest rate-hiking cycle is over, and the latest U.S. inflation data suggests this time they may be right.

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If housing cost pressures start to ease more in the coming months, as many economists expect, then the Federal Reserve is almost certainly done.

A potential quarter-point hike next month has been taken off the table completely and the chances of a rate hike by the end of the year stand at only 20%, according to fed funds futures.a little less than expected last month to 3.2%, and annual core inflation cooled slightly to 4.7%, as forecast. Both remain well above the Fed's 2% goal.

Strip out shelter, and "inflation is basically gone," according to RealPage housing economist Jay Parsons.

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