Global Market Return Forecast Revised Up, But US Stocks Lag: Time to Diversify?

. Today’s revised forecast indicates a 6.9% annualized return for the unmanaged benchmark, which holds all theUS equities are still the outlier for expected return among the various asset classes. The average forecast for American shares is well below the trailing 10-year performance. As a result, US equities are on track to generate materially softer results relative to realized performance over the past decade.

It’s likely that some, most or possibly all of the forecasts above will be wide of the mark in some degree. GMI’s projections, however, are expected to be somewhat more reliable vs. the estimates for its components. Predictions for the specific markets are subject to greater volatility and tracking error compared with aggregating the forecasts into the GMI estimate, a process that may reduce some of the errors through time.

Here’s a brief summary of how the forecasts are generated and definitions of the other metrics in the table above:The Building Block model uses historical returns as a proxy for estimating the future. The sample period used starts in January 1998 . The procedure is to calculate the risk premium for each asset class, compute the annualized return and then add an expected risk-free rate to generate a total return forecast.

Colombia Últimas Noticias, Colombia Titulares

Similar News:También puedes leer noticias similares a ésta que hemos recopilado de otras fuentes de noticias.

Stocks Vs. Bonds: Negative ERP Indicates It May Be Time to Rethink Your AllocationStocks Analysis by James Picerno covering: S&P 500, United States 10-Year. Read James Picerno's latest article on Investing.com
Fuente: Investingcom - 🏆 450. / 53 Leer más »

Buy these 2 global stocks as inflation fades, HSBC says — giving one 85% upsideHSBC has named the stocks set to benefit the most from easing price pressures — and one uses AI to enhance its products.
Fuente: CNBC - 🏆 12. / 72 Leer más »

Stocks making the biggest moves midday: Signet Jewelers, Chipotle, Mobileye Global, Best Buy and moreThese are the stocks posting the largest moves in midday trading.
Fuente: CNBC - 🏆 12. / 72 Leer más »

Barclays names three global stocks to buy for the next quarter, giving them major upsideThe Wall Street bank's strategists said they have a 'high conviction' on the stocks, which are also traded in the U.S.
Fuente: CNBC - 🏆 12. / 72 Leer más »

Stock market today: Global stocks mixed after strong US factory data prompt Wall St retreatAsian shares are mixed after Wall Street retreated as surprisingly strong U.S. manufacturing data cast doubts over how soon the Federal Reserve might cut interest rates. Hong Kong gained 2.4%.
Fuente: AP - 🏆 728. / 51 Leer más »