Economic discontent at election time almost always heralds doom for the political party that holds the White House. But the economic malaise that has bedeviled the country throughout the presidency of Joe Biden is likely to weigh even more heavily now that thethe annual rate of inflation remains higher than it has been since the economy was staggering from the financial crisis
The Federal Reserve’s latest projections—released in June—for inflation at the end of this year have theover 12 months, a bit more than the 2.4 percent they were projecting in March. Core prices, which strips out food and energy prices, are expected to be up 2.8 percent, higher than the 2.6 percent rate expected in the earlier projections.
As measured by the PCE index, we’ve now been above 2.4 percent inflation for forty consecutive months. The last streak of inflation staying that high for that long ended in 1991—and that streak was killed off by a recession.
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