Is Peak Investment Coming for the Shale Patch

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The United States oil and gas industry saw a consolidation wave as buyers with money from higher oil prices sought to expand their footprint, but how much longer can this investment boom persist

Peak oil has been a hot topic lately. Usually, it’s about demand and whether it would peak before 2030 or well after that. Sometimes, however, it’s about supply—and investment. Sometimes, it’s about whether U.S. shale has a future. The Wall Street Journal recently posed this question in an article about an oil county in New Mexico, where some are preparing for what seems like an inevitable drop in investments and hence, oil income.

“In Appalachia, the coal economy has been declining for decades,” Daniel Raimi, a fellow at Resources for the Future, told the Wall Street Journal. “It has resulted in really entrenched poverty and really big problems.” Comparing shale oil to coal is a little forced, however, in the context of both fuels’ evolution. Coal was the first industrialization fuel that reigned supreme for decades before the discovery of oil and gas.

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