"Perhaps it's needless to observe that current valuations on all of these measures match those of 1929 and 2000. I'll observe it anyway," he said. "Current valuations are essentiallythose that would be consistent with historically run-of-the-mill stock market returns of about 10% annually."
To help demonstrate the level of optimism present, Hussman leans on the CBOE put/call ratio, a metric that compares the amount of bullish option bets to bearish option bets."There are few times in history that investors were quite so optimistic in the option market," he said. "To be clear: our most reliable market valuation measures presently match the 1929 and 2000 extremes, and our gauge of internal uniformity is also unfavorable.
"If there is mean-reversion in valuations, as there has been during every market cycle in history, including those since 2000, the outcome will be catastrophic for investors over the completion of this cycle, because it implies a nearly two-thirds loss in the S&P 500 simply to reach pedestrian historical norms," he said.
If it comes off 30% on Monday new money will sweep in. But long FNV gold is free money.
On Friday I went out of everything except gold sure we may get a nice little pop in the market but it's low volume price action and too expensive. My other traders are doing the same
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