California's ban will push EV market share in the U.S. to about 20% soon, analyst predicts

Analysts at Evercore ISI predict that California’s recent move to ban sales of gas-powered vehicles by 2035 could push the U.S.’s share of electric vehicles to between 17% and 20% as early as 2025.

“We see U.S. penetration going from to 17-20% in ’25,” then 35% in 2030 and 75% by 2035, the Evercore ISI analysts said.Earlier this month, the California New Car Dealer’s Association estimated that the state’s electric-vehicle market share reached 15.1% in first half of the year, compared with 9.5% in the first half of 2021.

The regulations apply only to new vehicles, and Californians will be able to drive existing gas-powered cars and buy and sell used vehicles running on gas. It is the first move in the U.S. to ban ICE vehicles.

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