Howard Marks says commercial real estate defaults could add to market stress in the months ahead

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Market veteran Howard Marks is sounding the alarm on commercial real estate, with a wave of mortgage defaults set to add stress to the financial system.

Market veteran Howard Marks is sounding the alarm on commercial real estate, with an anticipated wave of mortgage defaults set to add stress to the financial system. "We're very likely to see mortgage defaults in the headlines, and at a minimum, this may spook lenders, throw sand into the gears of the financing and refinancing processes, and further contribute to a sense of heightened risk," Marks wrote in his latest memo Monday.

The closure of Silicon Valley Bank stemmed from an asset-liability mismatch, meaning a bank does not have enough readily available assets to sell to match the value of its deposits. The longtime investor called commercial real estate loans "one of the biggest worries" U.S. banks face today in the face of higher interest rates and a looming recession.

 

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