Some traditional TA — or technical analysis — believers see a breakout happening.
• In our analysis at The Arora Report, the breakout is suspect at this time because it is not decisive and it happened on quadruple witching, when a range of options and futures expire.• The chart shows The Arora Report “buy” signal on Christmas Eve at the low of the market.• RSI shows that the overbought condition has been relieved. This augurs well for a breakout.
What to do now Since the market is at an inflection point, in addition to watching the chart of S&P 500 SPX, +0.37% , investors ought to consider the following:• Earnings growth is slowing. This poses serious headwinds.• Investors ought to consider following a proven model that has performed well in both bull and bear markets and that includes not only technical analysis but also fundamental analysis, macro and quantitative analysis.
• Keep an eye on price action in recent momo darlings such as Broadcom AVGO, +1.22% , Zscaler ZS, +0.13% , Etsy ETSY, -0.49% and MongoDB MDB, +2.79% .
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