The market action suggests that the corrective upswing is maturing and likely about to end. How can we tell? Silver., I wrote about the likely reason behind the rally in silver and miners :“China on Tuesday banned exports to the United States of the critical minerals gallium, germanium and antimony that have potential military applications, escalating trade tensions the day after Washington's latest crackdown on China's chip sector.
I don’t think it will last long, as it’s quite clear that those are different markets – and it’s more obvious than it’s been the case with the emerging markets example. In other words, the lack of gold’s action called it a bluff. Indeed, the market got it right, as the martial law episode was short-lived.
In early 2024, there was a fake breakdown below the rising support line, which was followed by a counter-trend rally – above the 200-day moving average. The trend has already reversed, though, and if history teaches us anything, it seems that this is the beginning of a much, much bigger downturn. His company, Sunshine Profits, publishes analytical software that anyone can use in order to get an accurate and unbiased view on the current situation.
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