As the market enters the new year, investors will be focusing on several key factors. The incoming US administration and its policies will be closely watched, as will the developments in the US-China trade war. While there were hints about the new administration's direction from key appointees, the real picture will emerge once it's installed. Investors will also be paying attention to the impact of tariffs in the second Trump administration.
Locally, gains seen on the benchmark FBM KLCI during the Christmas week may contribute to a positive sentiment and spillover to the broader market if sustained. In 2024, the FBM KLCI recorded gains of 12.9%, the second-best performer in the ASEAN region after Singapore's Straits Times Index. Other ASEAN markets that saw gains included the Philippine Stock Exchange Index (1.22%) and Vietnam's VN-Index (12.1%). The Jakarta Composite Index declined by 3.33%, and the Stock Exchange of Thailand Index lost 2.31%. Seasoned investor Ian Yoong Kah Yin believes Malaysia could see net economic gains if tariffs imposed here are less severe than anticipated. He points out that Malaysia will benefit from the high tariff rates on China (60%), Mexico (25%), and Canada (25%), as Malaysian companies have significant exports to the United States and Malaysia falls in the 10% tariff category. Yoong also notes that Bursa Malaysia has generally been undervalued in recent times, with foreign investors and retailers being net sellers of Malaysian equities
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