We’ll know soon if the pullback in the U.S. manufacturing sector is poisoning the rest of the economy.
If the biggest threat to their call — a global recession — can be avoided, the S&P can reach 3,300 by the end of 2020, predicts a Citi team led by Robert Buckland. That’s just over a 14% gain from Wednesday’s close. Worrying factors for now, they say, include stretched corporate balance sheets and cyclically high profitability for companies. Another concern is an inverted U.S. yield-curve — when the yield on the 10-year Treasury note TMUBMUSD10Y, -4.28% is below that of the yield on the 2-year note TMUBMUSD02Y, -7.27% — because it has been a “good lead indicator of previous recessions,” the collapse of company earnings and global bear markets, they say.The market A third day of losses is building.
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