"The risk/reward for dividend stocks also appears attractive given they should be relative winners in a number of macro scenarios including recession, sticky inflation and tighter [financial] conditions," wrote Alastair Pinder, an equity strategist at UBS, in a February 22 note.
Dividend stocks, including high-quality ones, are discounted compared to the market, as shown by the fact that its relative forward earnings multiple is below 1.Lastly, UBS expects dividend growth to exceed earnings growth in 2023. The firm projects dividends to rise 1% year-over-year in 2023 and 10% in 2024, and Pinder added that corporate earnings could slide as much as 11% this year if there's an economic downturn.
"A greater focus should be put on high-quality dividend payers given the deceleration in economic activity," Pinder wrote.
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