div > div.group > p:first-child"> On Friday, the U.S. yield curve"inverted" — meaning the yield on the 3-month Treasury rose above the yield on the 10-year note. Historically, this means a recession is on the horizon.
"Historically investors have often tried to come up with reasons for why things are different this time around and have often been proven wrong," Credit Suisse research analyst Andrew Garthwaite said in a note to clients Tuesday. Still, certain sectors do better than others in that environment. In the first three months after the inversion, insurance and industrial stocks show the strongest median out-performance. Semiconductors and consumer durables are historically the biggest laggards.
More recession signals than just bonds out there
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Stocks tumble as bond market flashes possible recession signalStocks are in retreat Friday, as a key measure of the U.S. yield curve inverted and a downbeat round of European data underlined worries about global growth... VIX surges, but the move in VIX futures is getting rather 'panicky'. Bich im out here trying to make money. Why are you mentioning the R word?
مصدر: MarketWatch - 🏆 3. / 97 اقرأ أكثر »
Stocks typically outperform for a long time even when the bond market is flashing recession signalSome investors may be freaked out over the recession signal being sent by interest rates, but if history is a guide, there is still time to capture more gains in the stock market. FoxBusiness MadMoneyOnCNBC even banks do well in a flat yield curve and Janet Yellen says we have a flat yield curve Trying a hard sell here ? Ain’t we ? Delaying the inevitable.
مصدر: CNBC - 🏆 12. / 72 اقرأ أكثر »
Bonds are flashing a huge recession signal — here's what happened to stocks last time it happenedThe bond market is edging closer to signaling a recession, but don't panic, stocks could have a lot more to run even if the feared 'yield curve' inverts, according to history. Yes but this market rallied 20% right before it inverted. That didn’t happen before. Zero upside here. The scare tactics are unbelievable!
مصدر: CNBC - 🏆 12. / 72 اقرأ أكثر »
Stocks log worst day in over 2 ½ months as bond market flashes recession warningU.S. stocks close sharply lower Friday, with all major indexes logging their worst day in nearly three months, after a downbeat round of economic data in...
مصدر: MarketWatch - 🏆 3. / 97 اقرأ أكثر »
'Flashing amber': Global stocks tumble, bonds rally on U.S. recession riskInvestors ditched shares on Monday and fled to the safety of bonds as risk asset... This will elect a Democrat
مصدر: Reuters - 🏆 2. / 97 اقرأ أكثر »
Global stocks tumble as bond markets sound U.S. recession warningInvestors ditched shares on Monday and fled to the safety of bonds while the Jap... How convenient. Days after the mueller report completely exonerates Trump this happens. Looks like another cohencidence.
مصدر: Reuters - 🏆 2. / 97 اقرأ أكثر »
Bond yields are edging higher, easing stock market's recession jittersChina stocks continued their slide on Tuesday on economic red flags in the bond market, while US futures signal a slight gain on Wall Street.
مصدر: BusinessInsider - 🏆 729. / 51 اقرأ أكثر »