U.S. stocks are holding steady despite what many see as a reliable recession indicator, and Wall Street experts are similarly unfazed — at least for now.
To many, an inverted yield curve signals an oncoming recession. But analysts and economists are largely split — and mostly underwhelmed — by the latest test of the market's resilience. "The importance of the yield curve is how long are we going to be inverted for? [...] The longer you have this situation, the higher the risk goes. I think if we can go a few days inverted and then start to steepen again, I don't think the concerns are as worrisome. ... Our big area of focus is the semiconductors, and they've been a great leadership [group] for the market overall over the last six years. Every major sell-off in the stock market has been preceded by underperformance.
"When something happens for the first time since 2007, people pay attention, and that's what happened on Friday when you got the inversion. However, when you look at the economy ... and also when you look at the determinants of the yield curve shape and move, this is not signaling recession.
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Let’s add to the fact that -The GAO pointed to an IRS estimate that about 4.6 million fewer filers would receive refunds this tax filing season. Another 4.6 million filers were likely to owe money who had not had that experience in the past.
Yeah we don't see it, either
They must be blind to all the recession warning signs then
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Global stocks tumble as bond markets sound U.S. recession warningInvestors ditched shares on Monday and fled to the safety of bonds while the Jap... How convenient. Days after the mueller report completely exonerates Trump this happens. Looks like another cohencidence.
مصدر: Reuters - 🏆 2. / 97 اقرأ أكثر »
Stocks log worst day in over 2 ½ months as bond market flashes recession warningU.S. stocks close sharply lower Friday, with all major indexes logging their worst day in nearly three months, after a downbeat round of economic data in...
مصدر: MarketWatch - 🏆 3. / 97 اقرأ أكثر »
This market warning is the biggest sign yet of a recession — but when?“If we don’t get a trade deal ... and China winds up in a hard landing, you can rest assured that the global market will follow as well,” said one economist. The inversion of the yield curve is very worrisome for the economy. The fragility of the market is on full swing, the question is what will set it off? there really hasn't been any news since? DO YOU HAVE ANY GOOD NEWS FOR US? Thanks, The Country.
مصدر: NBCNews - 🏆 10. / 86 اقرأ أكثر »
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مصدر: CNBC - 🏆 12. / 72 اقرأ أكثر »
Bond yields are edging higher, easing stock market's recession jittersChina stocks continued their slide on Tuesday on economic red flags in the bond market, while US futures signal a slight gain on Wall Street.
مصدر: BusinessInsider - 🏆 729. / 51 اقرأ أكثر »
Goldman says investors are looking at the wrong bond market indicator and recession is less likelyGoldman Sachs strategists, in a note, said the yield curve has inverted, but in an unusual way, and it's not sending the same powerful recession signal it has in the past. 😂 ThanQ POTUS for giving strength to our economy and stopping the aggressive recession the Leftist Democrats are trying to produce before the 2020 election. Promises Made, Promises Kept. The same bank that’s been embroiled in scandal and fraud is telling people to ignore an indicator with a perfect history...
مصدر: CNBC - 🏆 12. / 72 اقرأ أكثر »
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مصدر: MarketWatch - 🏆 3. / 97 اقرأ أكثر »
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مصدر: CNN - 🏆 4. / 95 اقرأ أكثر »
'Flashing amber': Global stocks tumble, bonds rally on U.S. recession riskInvestors ditched shares on Monday and fled to the safety of bonds as risk asset... This will elect a Democrat
مصدر: Reuters - 🏆 2. / 97 اقرأ أكثر »
Bonds are flashing a huge recession signal — here's what happened to stocks last time it happenedThe bond market is edging closer to signaling a recession, but don't panic, stocks could have a lot more to run even if the feared 'yield curve' inverts, according to history. Yes but this market rallied 20% right before it inverted. That didn’t happen before. Zero upside here. The scare tactics are unbelievable!
مصدر: CNBC - 🏆 12. / 72 اقرأ أكثر »