While Tuesday’s PPI print will get a little attention, the data point just has never had the gravitas that CPI has, which in my opinion, is tied to the fact that PPI is more representative of the US economy between 1945 and 1980, i.e. manufacturing, industrial and producer-related.
The point is the PPI matters, just not as much as it did 40 – 50 years ago. Wednesday’s July CPI and really July’s Core CPI print will likely generate the biggest market reaction on Wednesday, August 14th. This blog will have a separate earnings preview for Walmart this week. Walmart is an AI story, as well as a burgeoning e-commerce story as much as a US consumer spend story, so don’t be lured in by the mainstream financial media.The forward 4-quarter estimate ended this week at $258.77, down from it’s early July ’24 peak of $261.39 and down from last week’s $259.51;
The S&P 500’s EPS upside surprise at +4.5% as the unofficial end of Q2 ’24’s earnings season approaches; this is about half the “upside surprise” of prior quarters, back through ’23.
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